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18 SEPTIEMBRE 2020

Clamoroso triunfo de Matteo Renzi

| 192 comentarios valoración: 3  773 votos
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Resultado 3  773 votos

Los italianos han premiado el denodado esfuerzo de Matteo Renzi, acreditado a lo largo de estos tres meses, por cambiar la dinámica de la política italiana. Renzi no ha cumplido la promesa de una reforma al mes, pero ello no evita reconocer que son numerosos los temas de mucha trascendencia en los que ha intentado transformar la realidad existente: la ley electoral, el problema de las regiones, los problemas para substitir de las clases más desfavorecidas... Así, Italia tiene ya una nueva nueva ley electoral (llamada Italicum) a la espera de que el Senado conceda el "visto bueno" definitivo. Las regiones desaparecerán cuando el Parlamento conceda su aprobación. Y las rentas más bajas comenzarán a percibir con carácter inmediato un bono de 80 euros mensuales para poder aumentar su poder adquisitivo.

Renzi sigue teniendo muchas más cosas en mente sobre las que todavía no ha dado un paso pero en las que espera hacerlo en breve: por ejemplo, acabar con el "bicameralismo perfecto" y convertir al Senado en una auténtica cámara de representación territorial (se le llamaría "Cámara de las Regiones"); y poner en marcha una reforma del mercado laboral donde ya ha avisado de que su intención es seguir el modelo español, con la ventaja de que él parte de cifras mucho mejores que su país vecino (un 13% frente al 24% que Rajoy recibió de Rodríguez Zapatero).

Cierto es que Renzi ha podido afrontar las elecciones en unas condiciones ideales: sencillamente, no tenía rivales. Con Monti retirado a sus cuarteles de invierno, todo quedaba en manos de un Beppe Grillo al que una parte de la población italiana le ha dejado claro que no le gusta nada su manera dictatorial de actuar, con numerosas expulsiones de diputados y senadores a lo largo de quince meses solo por el mero hecho de discrepar de su jefe de filas. Por ello ha perdido cuatro puntos con respecto a febrero de 2013, y más que puede seguir perdiendo como siga mostrando a los italianos que en realidad no tiene nada que proponer: la mayor parte de sus conciudadanos tienen cada vez más claro que su lema de "los políticos a casa" no lleva, sencillamente, a ningún sitio.

También ha cometido un grave error Silvio Berlusconi con su negativa a designar a un "delfín". Tuvo oportunidad en su momento (a través de Giuilio Tremonti u otros), pero se ha obstinado en seguir siendo el líder del partido cuando se encuentra desde hace meses expulsado del Parlamento, cumple una condena por delito fiscal y el paso del tiempo (le faltan solo dos años para convertirse en un octogenario) resulta toda una evidencia.

Mientras Berlusconi y Grillo se dedicaban a cruzarse insultos, Renzi ha dado en todo momento la sensación de que se encontraba centrado en sacar a Italia de la profunda crisis en la que se encuentra inmersos el país desde hace años. Eso explica que, con respecto a las elecciones de febrero de 2013, el Partido Democrático haya obtenido doce puntos más, hasta situarse en el 40.8% de los votos, unas cifras que, por cierto, en otros tiempos sólo lograba la Democracia Cristiana. Y de todo esto deben tomar nota sus aliados en el Gobierno: los italianos también han dejado claro que les gusta bastante poco Angelino Alfano, quien se ha tenido que conformar con un muy pobre 4.3% de los votos (es decir, una décima parte de lo logrado por Renzi).

Con estos resultados, lo mejor que le podría pasar a Italia sería que se aprobara la nueva ley electoral y que se convocaran elecciones para que Renzi pudiera afrontar su programa reformista con un Parlamento donde tuviera una amplia mayoría. Pero en este momento esa posibilidad se encuentra en manos de dos personas: el Presidente Napolitano, que no va a querer elecciones mientras Italia presida la Unión Europea (segundo semestre de 2014); y Silvio Berlusconi, quien tiene los votos necesarios para que Renzi saque adelante la ley también en el Senado, a no ser que Renzi decida pactar con otros esa necesaria mayoría. Claro que ese sí que será un muy importante obstáculo, porque los 320 senadores que tiene en este momento Italia saben que, de convocarse elecciones generales, la privilegiada situación que poseen podría desaparecer de un plumazo. En todo caso, pase lo que pase, Renzi ha logrado un triunfo que, hay que decirlo, es casi exclusivamente mérito suyo personal.

 

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sobre este blog
El observador español
Pablo Martín de Santa Olalla Saludes es Doctor en Historia Contemporánea por la Universidad Autónoma de Madrid. Especialista en Historia de la España actual, ha publicado varios libros sobre el tema de la Iglesia durante el franquismo y la Transición. Sus investigaciones le llevaron a realizar numerosas estancias de investigación en Italia, donde comenzó a interesarse por la realidad italiana. Su último libro es 'El laberinto italiano. Del fenómeno Berlusconi a la crisis actual, 1994-2014'
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